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Showing posts with label Groundhog Day. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Groundhog Day. Show all posts

Thursday, February 1, 2024

8 years? 34 years? How long was Bill Murray stuck in Groundhog Day?

First of all, here's Jonah Goldberg's (perennial) Groundhog Day column; I completely agree with his contention that it's great comedy and a great moral lesson.  But how long was Bill Murray stuck there?

Director Harold Ramis, in the DVD commentary, opined that it takes Murray's character about ten years of repeating Groundhog Day and then later, in response to several sites online linking to an article that came to an answer of just 8 years, 8 months, and 16 days, he offered the following:
"I think the 10-year estimate is too short. It takes at least 10 years to get good at anything, and allotting for the down time and misguided years he spent, it had to be more like 30 or 40 years…"
Here's an amazingly detailed subsequent analysis that concluded it must have been at least 34 years, and here are some additional interesting Groundhog Day links.

Friday, February 1, 2019

Friday links

February links - pagan Roman purification (februa = purify) and Mary's purification 40 days after the birth of Christ.


Don't like what the groundhog has to say? It's probably wrong - Punxsutawney Phil has been correct just 39% of the time since 1887. 

Jonah's classic Groundhog Day column - A Movie For All Time.


As Bill Murray and Andie MacDowell take off down the street once Groundhog Day has ended, Nat "King" Cole is singing Almost Like Being In Love - here's Mark Steyn with a history of that song.


ICYMI, Tuesday's links are here, and include the cow toilet, 1915 footage of Monet, Renoir, Rodin & Degas and PSAs on movie theater etiquette from that era, what it's like to be declared dead by the government, and W. C. Fields' birthday (including a "best of" compilation).

Thursday, January 31, 2019

Groundhog Day, Candlemas and weather predictions

Candlemas was originally a Celtic festival marking the “cross-quarter day,” or midpoint of the season. The Sun is halfway on its advance from the winter solstice to the spring equinox. The Christian church, at this time, commemorates the purification of the Virgin Mary and her presentation of the infant Jesus in the Temple. Candlelit processions accompanied the feast day.

Since the traditional Candlemas celebration anticipated the planting of crops, a central focus of the festivities was the forecasting of either an early spring or a lingering winter. Sunshine on Candlemas was said to indicate the return of winter. Similarly, “When the wind’s in the east on Candlemas Day / There it will stick till the second of May.”

A bear brought the forecast to the people of France and England, while those in Germany looked to a badger for a sign. In the 1800s, German immigrants to Pennsylvania brought their Candlemas legends with them. Finding no badgers but lots of groundhogs, or woodchucks, there, they adapted the New World species to fit the lore.

From the Book of Days*:

Considering the importance attached to Candlemass day for so many ages, it is scarcely surprising that there is a universal superstition throughout Christendom, that good weather on this day indicates a long continuance of winter and a bad crop, and that its being foul is, on the contrary, a good omen. Sir Thomas Browne, in his Vulgar Errors, quotes a Latin distich expressive of this idea:
'Si sol splendescat Maria purificante,
Major erit glacies post festum quam fait ante;
which maybe considered as well translated in the popular Scottish rhyme:
If Candlemass day be dry and fair,
The half o' winter's to come and mair;
If Candlemass day be wet and foul,
The half o' winter's gave at Yule.'
In Germany there are two proverbial expressions on this subject: 1. The shepherd would rather see the wolf cuter his stable on Candlemass day than the sun; 2. The badger peeps out of his hole on Candlemass day, and when he finds snow, walks abroad; but if he sees the sun shining, he draws back into his hole. It is not improbable that these notions, like the festival of Candlemass itself, are derived from pagan times, and have existed since the very infancy of our race. So at least we may conjecture, from a curious passage in Martin's Description of the Western Islands. On Candlemass day, according to this author, the Hebrideans observe the following curious custom:

The mistress and servants of each family take a sheaf of oats and dress it up in women's apparel, put it in a large basket, and lay a wooden club by it, and this they call Brύd's Bed.; and then the mistress and servants cry three times, "Brύd is come; Brύd is welcome!" This they do just before going to bed, and when they rise in the morning they look among the ashes, expecting to see the impression of Brad's club there; which, if they do, they reckon it a true presage of a good crop and prosperous year, and the contrary they take as an ill omen.

Friday, February 2, 2018

Groundhog Day/Superbowl links


Don't like what the groundhog has to say about how long winter will last? You're in luck: Punxsutawney Phil has been correct just 39% of the time since 1887.

Jonah Goldberg's classic Groundhog Day column.



As Bill Murray and Andie MacDowell take off down the street once Groundhog Day has ended, Nat "King" Cole is singing Almost Like Being In Love - here's Mark Steyn with a history of that song.

Some Super Bowl reading:
Football during WWII, when almost all able-bodied men joined the military: The combined Steelers/Eagles team called the Steagles.
Were footballs ever actually made of pigskin?
The Lost Tribe of Gypsy Harlots: The Mythical Invasion of the Super Bowl Hookers.
ICYMI, Thursday's links are here, and include beer, wine and whiskey pairings for all those Girl Scout cookies you're buying, illustrated fitness tips from 1900, some February links (pagan Roman purification (februa = purify) and Mary's purification 40 days after the birth of Christ), and recreating ancient recipes. 

Thursday, February 2, 2017

February/Groundhog Day links


February links - pagan Roman purification (februa = purify) and Mary's purification 40 days after the birth of Christ.

Don't like what the groundhog has to say about how long winter will last? You're in luck: Punxsutawney Phil has been correct just 39% of the time since 1887.

Jonah Goldberg's classic Groundhog Day column.


How to Write Groundhog Day by... the writer of Groundhog Day.

As Bill Murray and Andie MacDowell take off down the street once Groundhog Day has ended, Nat "King" Cole is singing Almost Like Being In Love - here's Mark Steyn with a history of that song.

ICYMI, Friday's links are here, and include the history of domesticating chickens, beer yoga, 1960's disposible dresses, 25 animals that scientists want to bring back from extinction, and why it's nearly impossible to castrate a hippo.

Tuesday, February 2, 2016

Tuesday links

Don't like what the groundhog has to say? It's probably wrong - Punxsutawney Phil has been correct just 39% of the time since 1887. And here are way too many Groundhog Day links, including an analysis of how long Bill Murray was stuck (spoiler - at least 34 years).

Psychiatrists studied 400 movies to find the most realistic psychopath.


Docs Removed My Brain For Nothing: Ridiculous Tabloid Headlines That Are Totally 100% True.


New York Public Library menu collection, from the 1850s to the modern day.

ICYMI, Monday's links are here, and are all February and Groundhog Day related.

Friday, January 30, 2015

Punxsutawney Phil has been correct 39% of the time since 1887

Groundhog Day (wiki) dates back to 1887 when Clymer H. Freas, city editor of the Punxsutawney Spirit, began promoting Punxsutawney's groundhog as the official Groundhog Day meteorologist. Records have been kept fairly regularly since the tradition began showing the ground-dweller's predictions. However, the National Climactic Data Center (NCDC),which has much more information, has also been keeping its records quite closely, and the results might disappoint Punxsutawney fans.

According to the NCDC the data "shows no predictive skill for the groundhog during the most recent years of this analysis. Since 1993, the U.S. national temperature has been above normal 11 times in February, 12 times in March, below normal 6 times in February, 3 times in March, and near normal 3 times in February and 5 times in March." Moreover according to Stormfax, Punxsutawney Phil has been correct just 39 percent of the time since the first recorded Groundhog Day in 1887.